By KRYSTLE CHOW
Published in the Ottawa Business Journal newspaper and website.
Jan. 7, 2008
Click here to view this article on OttawaBusinessJournal.com.
Robert Ford says low VC levels and international consolidation will continue to drive M&As in 2008; however, the U.S. economic slowdown may push this activity down.
Photo by DARREN BROWN for the Ottawa Business Journal
It doesn’t look like 2008 will be a breakthrough year for Ottawa’s high-tech companies, but the good news is that a downturn isn’t expected either, despite the U.S. economic slowdown, low funding levels and last year’s historic merger and acquisition activity.
With some of the biggest deals in Ottawa history seen in 2007, the forecast is that the momentum from those mergers and acquisitions is going to help activity levels in this area stay healthy, with only a slight dip expected this year.
Robert Ford, a technology lawyer with Gowlings Kanata, says there were several factors driving M&A activity in 2007: low-cost debt funding and private equity; strong equity prices, meaning that it was a good time to buy because company shares were worth a lot; international pressure and consolidation, and lack of venture capital.
“Three of those factors will drop this year – the low-cost funding, equity prices will fall a little bit with the U.S. slowdown, and private equity will fall off somewhat in response to exposure to asset-backed commercial paper,” Mr. Ford says. “However, there is still a lot of international sales pressure, which will drive some M&A and strategic buys, and the lack of venture capital means some companies will have to sell before their time in Ottawa, but it won’t be as furious.”
Mr. Ford says the pressure to consolidate in order to compete internationally is going to mean a lot
more mergers and purchases of smaller Ottawa companies, as in the IBM-Watchfire and Allen-Vanguard/Med-Eng deals.
However, there will be fewer mega-deals than in 2007 as the industry is still “digesting the large deals” of last year, says Cliff Taylor of PricewaterhouseCoopers, agreeing with Mr. Ford that there will be many strategic buys of Ottawa companies.
“There will be an increase in foreign deals in North America (in general), with foreign companies snapping up strategic technology to round out their own technology portfolios and to get their products to market faster than they can on their own,” Mr. Taylor says.
“As well, a lot of companies funded over the past five years now need an exit … a few go public, but usually they eventually get purchased because it’s the path of least resistance.” Continue reading →